The Pitcher’s Mound

8/24/2020 – Pro Picks

Advertisements
Advertisements
Betting PIcks
Advertisements
Advertisements

8/24/2020 – DK Lineup

Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

Classic Format

7 Game
7 Game Format
2 Game
2 Game Format
Advertisements

Short Slate

2 Game Short Slate
2 Game
3 Game
3 Game
Advertisements

Showdown

TOR vs TB
TOR vs TB
MIA vs WAS
MIA vs WAS
COL vs. ARI
COL vs ARI
Advertisements

Tiers

Tier 7
7 Game
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

8/23/2020 – Pro Picks

Advertisements
Advertisements
Bet Picks
Advertisements
Advertisements

8/23/2020 – DK Lineup

Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

Classic Format

7 game
7 Game Format
5 game
5 Game Format
Advertisements

Short Slate

3 game
3 Game
Advertisements

Showdown

mia vs was
MIA vs WAS
cws v chc
CWS vs CHC
phi v atl
PHI vs ATL
Advertisements

Tiers

7 game
7 Game
5 game
5 Game
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

This Week in Baseball – Week 35

Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

August 23th

In 1980, Oakland A’s owner Charlie Finley sells the club for $12.7 million to the Haas family of San Francisco keeping the team in Oakland. Check out this video of the 1980 Oakland A’s season

Advertisements

August 24th

In 1989 Commissioner Giamatti permanently bans Pete Rose from baseball for his alleged gambling on major league games. Although the five-page document signed by both parties includes no formal findings, Giamatti says that he considers Pete Rose’s acceptance of the ban to be a no-contest plea to the charges. Because of this Pete Rose, one of the greatest baseball players of all time, has yet to be inducted into the Hall of Fame. Below is the statement from Giamatti to the Press about the issue.

Advertisements

August 25th

In 1986, Mark McGwire hits his first major league homerun a 450 foot bomb against Detroit.

Advertisements

August 26th

In 1939, Ebbets Field is the site of the first telecast of a major league baseball game. The Reds play the Dodgers in a doubleheader. Red Barber handles the broadcasts over W2XBS. The Dodgers take the first game 6-2, and the Reds take the second 5-1. The broadcast also included features of the Worlds Fair. Below is footage from the 1939 World Series between the Yankees and the Reds.

Advertisements

August 27th

In 1988, Tommy Lasorda wins his 1,000th game as a manager as Los Angeles tops Philadelphia 4-2. The Dodgers went on to win the World Series that year.

Advertisements

August 28th

In 1992, the Milwaukee Brewers set an American League record with 31 hits and 26 singles in a 22-2 rout of the Toronto Blue Jays.

Advertisements

August 29th

In 1993, George Brett got his 200th stolen base to joining only Willie Mays and Hank Aaron as the only players with 3,000 hits, 300 homers and 200 steals. However, he is probably most known for his Pine Tar Incident.

Advertisements

August 30th

In 1988, Kent Tekulve becomes the second pitcher in major league history to appear in 1,000 games. Kent was most known for his time with the Pirates in the 1979 World Series Championship pitching closer in Game 7 to win.

Advertisements

We would like to thank http://www.todayinbaseballhistory.com/ for providing the historical information provided on this post.

Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

Betting Baseball 101 – Fading the Public

Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Photo by Keenan Constance on Unsplash
Advertisements

It is a common belief among the sports world that Joe Q. Public doesn’t know how to bet let along pick the winning side.

This belief is rooted in the line of truth that on average most don’t. They put their $20 on their favorite team without minimal reasoning other than it’s their favorite team and their out with their buddies and want a little skin in the game.

So the question then becomes what can you do with this information?

Can you use this to your advantage to make profitable bets?

You will find many websites and networks that say yes. That if you can obtain this information usually through a pay wall that all you need to do is bet against this public information and you will be on the right side and be profitable. This idea comes from the understanding that “Vegas wasn’t built by winners.”

While this information about Las Vegas is accurate what many fail to realize that the Sportsbook is one of the least profitable areas in the entire casino and in my aspects a Loss Leader to get people in the casino to spend their money on slot machines.

Usually public betting information is presented in two different ways.

Advertisements

The Dollar Amount Wagered and the Percentage of Total Bets Wagered.

Where this is helpful is you can, in theory, compare the two and determine where their wagers are being placed and then simply bet against the public bettors to long term be profitable.

What this doesn’t take into considering is what the casino has already done to account for these wagers. The casino/sportsbook also has this information often well before you ever will and they have moved the line accordingly to account for this wagering.

Also is the public betting information you are often paying for accurate or is the information you are being presented now stale and no longer of add value.

We have found these two bit of information to combat against using this as a winning betting strategy.

Can this information be helpful?

Advertisements

Yes, we have found this information to be helpful in steering us away from more bets than actually helping us bet more often. This is just as useful when evaluating game line information. This is extremely helpful if perhaps there has been a substantial amount of public wagers and the betting line is now dead and the line has moved so far away from the opening line you have lost any advantage you may have had while completing your handicapping analysis.

This is most common with the NFL especially on games like Monday Night Football. The public has poured money into the game and moved the line so far away from your expectation the game is no longer worth of betting on

Advertisements

Over the long term where this information has been influential is on point totals. The public on average loves points to be scored and we love to play the under on point totals when totals shoot up. We don’t see this as much in baseball with run lines except for Coors. If Coors is on a Sunday Night we have seen the run line increase because of the inherent stadium bias of Coors.

It is important to understand how the public bets but it should not be your only principle to use when making your wagering decisions. You should complete your own handicapping and your own team analysis. Then use the public betting information to as part of your decision making.

Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

8/22/2020 – Pro Picks

Advertisements
Advertisements
BETTING PICKS
Advertisements
Advertisements

8/22/2020 – DK Lineup

Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

Classic Format

3 game early
3 Game Format (Early)
10 game
10 Game Format
4 game night
4 Game Format (Night)
Advertisements

Short Slate

2 game
2 Game 8:15pm
Advertisements

Showdown

laa vs oak
8/22 (LAA vs OAK)
tor vs tb
8/22 (TOR vs TB)
hou sd
8/22 (HOU vs SD)
Advertisements

Tiers

6 game
6 Game
4 game
4 Game
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

8/21/2020 – Pro Picks

Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

8/21/2020 – DK Lineup

Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements

Classic Format

8 Game
8 Game Format
5 Game
5 Game Format
Advertisements

Short Slate

2 game
2 Game 6:05pm
3 game 1
3 Game 8:05pm
3 game 2
3 Game 9:05pm
Advertisements

Showdown

6:40
8/21 6:40pm (TOR vs TB)
7:05
8/21 7:05pm (MIL vs PIT)
9;40
8/21 9:40pm (COL vs LAD)
Advertisements

Tiers

8 game
8 Game
3 game
3 Game
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements
Advertisements