The Pitcher’s Mound

8/2/2020 – Pro Picks

Betting Picks

Yesterday’s Results were 4-7. Current Season Record is 51-49-4.

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8/2/2020-DK Lineup

DraftKings
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DK Lineup
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Highlights and Notes

Civale – With no workload limitations Civale has the ability to play for a long stretch today allowing for more opportunity for him to get more strikeouts and load up on the DK point total.

Chirinos – Can’t not love a pitching matchup against the O’s.

Severino – The Orioles need someone with a bat in the lineup or it will be a very very long day against the Ray’s and Severino is it.

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Moran – One of the best bats in Pittsburgh. This Pirate has been fantastic fantasy wise especially for how much he costs. $3,000 gives you a lot of ability to make moves in other positions. Were not taking this guy out of our lineup until he proves us otherwise.

Kipnis – He’s been very impressive so far and he’s so cheap at $3,100. This gives you lots of roster opportunity.

Ruiz – A consistent bat for the O’s and a good value for your lineup.

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T. Story– We can’t have a lineup without some Rockies at Coors. Story should continue to be magical today.

Grisham – Grisham has been a homer machine and has been hot recently. Here’s hoping to riding the train.

Jimenez – The batting gods are finally blessing Jimenez. Let’s hope his $3,700 price tag bodes well to this lineup.

Robert – This guy has just been amazing so far this season. We’re riding the DFS wave.

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This Week in Baseball – Week 32

August 2nd

In 1991 Mike Jeffcoat became the first pitcher since 1972 to record an RBI. It was the 3rd At Bat of this career. The first two he was walked to first. This was about the best highlight of his short career. He now resides coaching college baseball.

Mike Jeffcoat
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August 3rd

Back in 1989 the Reds scored 14 runs in the first inning. This resulted in 3 different record accomplishments: most singles in one inning at 12, most players with two hits in an inning at 7, and most hits in an inning at 16. The Reds beat the Astros 18-2 as the Reds finished with 26 hits on the game.

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August 4th

In 1996 one of our favorite managers of all time Earl Weaver was inducted into the Hall of Fame. Earl was known for letting his feels loose on more than one umpire during his career. Watch this magical performance by the great Earl Weaver. Warning there is language.

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August 5th

In 1979, Willie Mays is inducted into the Hall of Fame. Willie inspired so many people to love the game of baseball as much as we do. To truly understand how much he meant to people watch this video of The Legend Vin Scully meet Willie Mays. He lights up like he was a kid. They say never meet your heroes but I don’t anyone was as happy as Vin in this moment. If this doesn’t put a smile on your face I’m not sure what will.

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August 6th

In 1988 Jose Canseco became the 11th player in MLB history to hit 30 homers and have 30 stolen bases in a season. While steroids were obviously involved its hard not to enjoy the Bash Brothers in their heyday. Time to do the Monster Bash! Plus how do you not love those Green A’s uniforms.

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August 7th

In 1956, The largest crowd in minor league history, 57,000, saw 51-year-oldĀ Satchel Paige of Miami beat Columbus in an International League game played in the Orange Bowl. Below if video from 1958 just a few years later at the age of 51 playing in Miami against Havana.

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August 8th

In 1988, the first night game in Wrigley Field history was postponed due to rain. The Cubs were winning 3-1 before the game was called off. Watch the entire game below. It stops after the top of the 4th inning. You can even hear a young Mark Harmon on commentary who at the time was Famous for St. Elsewhere and now most known for his work on the TV show NCIS.

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We would like to thank http://www.todayinbaseballhistory.com/ for providing the historical information provided on this post.

8/1/2020-DK Lineup

DraftKings
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Highlights and Notes

Carrasco – The same goes for both Carrasco and Maeda we like both of these guys in their pitching duel today and were taking both. We expect this to be a low scoring affair between the Indians the the Twins so this bodes well for lots of strike outs.

Maeda – See above.

T. d’Arnaud – What’s not to love about this guy. His bat has been a joy to watch and has been absolutely crushing it from a fantasy perspective. Paying up a little at $4,100 but we don’t anticipate him staying this cheap for long.

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Moran – One of the best bats in Pittsburgh. This Pirate has been fantastic fantasy wise especially for how much he costs. $3,100 gives you a lot of ability to make moves in other positions. Were not taking this guy out of our lineup until he proves us otherwise.

Peraza – While he hasn’t been great the Red Sox’s have moved him into leadoff. Let’s hoping this encourages him to get on base. Plus…he’s cheap and with this roster construction we need little cheap.

Machado – Manny gets on base. When you get on base you get fantasy points. It’s that simple.

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Tatis Jr – 4 for 4 this kid has been in our lineup. Why change now.

Judge – All rise for the Judge. Aaron has been a beast, just like yesterday preventing a Red Sox run in and then a Homer to center. DFS points be damned.

Goodwin – Due to the expensive roster we need good and cheap. Goodwin is Good and Cheap.

Brantley – Love this kids bat and his price tag.

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8/1/2020 – Pro Picks

Betting picks

Yesterday’s Results were 7-5. Current Season Record is 47-42-4.

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Betting Baseball 101 – Types of Bets

As part of our 101 series we want to introduce you to the types of bets that you have at your disposal.

Most recreational handicappers, or those who most often bet on the primetime games, i.e. Monday Night Baseball, Sunday Night Baseball, Red Sox v. Yankees, or any other high profile match up just want to get a taste of the action and don’t mind dropping $20 on the game so they can have some good water cooler talk the next day. However most don’t actually know what they are betting on or if their bet is actually any good. So lets break down all the options at your disposal. Just a note we will not be discussing prop bets for this particular post as that will be forthcoming.

The key to becoming a better handicapper is to understand what your betting on and determining if its a good bet. How do you know it’s a good bet? Well, what’s important is comparing what you believe the likelihood of an outcome to be compared to what the sportsbook believes that outcome will be. How this works will be discussed in another post. For today lets focus on what were actually betting on moving from the easiest to the hardest.

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The Money Line

Money Line
This is the Money line wager comparing 5 different sportsbooks. Two have not established lines but the other 3 have, the best lines are highlighted in green. Money line bets in the United States use a +/- evaluation with Even or +/-100 meaning for every dollar bet if you win you will receive your money back plus the equal amount to your wager. Example Even Money on the Reds for $100 bet you would receive $200. For every point below 100 or in this example -167 you will receive less per winning wager plus your money back. The standard line often does not remain at even money or the house (The Casino) would never win any money. Most commonly in the U.S. -110 is the line wager. So for a $100 bet you would receive $190 if you were to win. The lower the number the more likely an outcoming is expected by the casino. This the scenario above Cincinnati is expected to win. Part of this equation also includes how much the casino has collected in bets throughout the day and the line will move or adjust to compensate for these wagers. On the Positive side every point over +100 you will win your money back plus the amount initially wagered. In the scenario above if the Tigers were to win on a $100 bet you would receive $250 or 1.5x your initial wager plus your initial bet.
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The Total

Runs Total

The total line uses similar concepts to the money line. The only difference is instead on betting for a team to win you are wagering the total amount of runs in a given standard 9 inning contest. One item of note; if games end prior to the middle of the 7th inning this will likely void this and other wagers as it is not a full contest per MLB rules. The example provided above outlines a total anticipated runs of 9. You are not betting on a team but the collective effort of both teams. Line totals vary based on pitching rotation, team batting, and location. The easiest example of location is Coors Field for the Colorado Rockies. Due to altitude the ball naturally carries farther creating additional runs per the average of the rest of the MLB. The same wagering principles apply for the total as the money line.

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The Run Line

Run Line Total

The run line follows the same principles as the money line wager however the major different is while the money line only a team has to win, on the run line the team has to win or lose by more or less. This example the Reds will need to win by at least two runs in order for your wager to be successful. On the same token the Tigers can only lose by no less than 1 run in order to win your wager. This wager is extensively harder than the money line and the betting amount reflects that with the average being -109 in this scenario compared to -167/+150 in the Money line bet.

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Starting small and working your up to more advanced betting techniques is the way to go as you learn. Even the best bettors barely break even. So stay consistent find a methodology that works well for you and determine where you think the value lives.

7/31/2020 – Pro Picks

Baseball Bets

Yesterday’s Results were 6-2-1. Current Season Record is 40-37-4.

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7/31/2020-DK Lineup

DraftKings
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Draft Kings Lineup
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Highlights and Notes

Happy Coors Day! That’s right the first Coors game of the year. With that, comes a heavy stack of Padres and Rockies.

Montgomery – Making his season debut after the mess with COVID-19 in Miami. Montgomery is hoping to get off too a good start against the Red Sox. We see this as a great opportunity to with under utilization in lineups creating value to separate you from the pack.

Castillo – We like Castillo a lot and this is a great matchup against what will be one of the worst teams in baseball this year the lowly Tigers.

Vazquez – He has had an impressive start so far this season and we look for that ton continue against the Yankees today. Vazquez has been one of the few shining lights in Boston.

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Myers – Becoming a Bet-MLB favorite we are keeping him in our lineup for the same reasons we did yesterday. The guy gets on base and then steals a few extra.

Moran – One of the best bats in Pittsburgh. This Pirate has been fantastic fantasy wise especially for how much he costs. $3,100 gives you a lot of ability to make moves in other positions.

LeMahieu – He has been extremely impressive so far and like Myers were keeping him in the roster until things change.

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Tatis Jr – 3 for 3 back to back games. Tatis Jr. has been a machine.

Brantley – How this kid is so cheap is beyond me. $2,800 makes him such an easy decision to add to your lineup.

Dahl – He’s part of our Coor’s stack for opening day in Colorado. He should have a great game today back at home.

Castellanos – With a .381 BA he is been fantastic for a Reds team who has real potential to make the playoffs this year.

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7/30/2020-DK Lineup

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Highlights and Notes

Lament – Has held his own so far and with an awful SF offense so far this season hopefully he can go deep and get an extra couple innings to rack up some extra fantasy points.

Bundy – Bundy has been very impressive thus far and I look for his performance to continue. 8 strike outs thus far, more DFS points should be in his future.

Garver – He is out to a great start. Keep and eye on your roster incase the team elects not to start him. You have room in your cap to make adjustments if this turns out to be the case.

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Myers – This guy is a base stealing machine. Sneaky fantasy points allow for him to exceed is baseline performance.

Peraza – This is a swing for the fences here’s hoping it pays off.

LeMahieu – This bat is just hot. Let’s hope it stays that way.

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Tatis Jr – This kid has been hot, red hot and this should continue to bring home the DFS bacon.

Stanton – The Yankees absolutely crushed yesterday for DFS players. This magic should continue against the Orioles and a very stable option for your lineup.

Soler – While his BA is pretty low at .198 and going 2-13 so far, Detroit is awful and should allow the opportunity to have Soler get his bat on the ball. Plus he’s pretty cheap at $3,600.

Pillar – has had an impressive last couple games even against stiff competition of the Mets rotation. He should continue to perform and put up decent fantasy numbers.

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7/30/2020 – Pro Picks

Yesterday’s Results were 8-4. Current Season Record is 34-35-3.

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